What are the odds of a White Christmas in Nashville?

A White Christmas is when there is at least 1″ of snow on the ground on Christmas day.
Are you dreaming of a White Christmas this year? Let’s explore the odds of that happening.
Published: Dec. 9, 2024 at 4:06 PM CST
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NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Are you dreaming of a White Christmas this year? Let’s explore the odds of that happening.

Snow has been measured in Nashville since the winter of 1884 when the Army Signal Corps began taking snow measurements in addition to temperature readings.

The most recent white Christmas for the city of Nashville was back in 2010. A White Christmas is when there is at least 1″ of snow on the ground on Christmas day.

Nashville has seen measurable snow on Christmas a few handfuls of times.
Nashville has seen measurable snow on Christmas a few handfuls of times.(WSMV)

Statistically speaking, the chance of a trace of snow on Christmas day in Nashville, on any given year, is about 16%. The chance of seeing 1 inch or more of snow on Christmas day in Nashville is even lower, around 2%.

In December of 2022, we came close to having a White Christmas. It snowed on December 22, 23, and 26, but not on the 25th. That said, there was at least a few tenths of snow on the ground on Christmas days as below-freezing temperatures stuck around for several days.